Time to Adopt a ‘No First Use’ Nuclear Pol­i­cy

Time to Adopt a ‘No First Use’ Nuclear Policy

Pol­i­tics

Time to Adopt a ‘No First Use’ Nuclear Pol­i­cy

The pre­vail­ing nuclear ortho­doxy at Wash­ing­ton is dan­ger­ous and desta­bi­liz­ing.

Days pri­or to the Japan­ese attack on Pearl Har­bor, US Sec­re­tary of War Hen­ry Stim­son record­ed in his diary a rec­ol­lec­tion of a meet­ing in the Oval Office dur­ing which Pres­i­dent Franklin Roo­sevelt spec­u­lat­ed that the Japan­ese were like­ly to attack soon, and “the ques­tion was how we should maneu­ver them into the posi­tion of fir­ing the first shot with­out allow­ing too much dan­ger to our­selves.” It was, wrote Stim­son, “a dif­fi­cult propo­si­tion.”

The attack came on Decem­ber 7, 1941 and set in train a series of events that would cul­mi­nate 79 years ago this week, with the deci­sion by Pres­i­dent Har­ry Tru­man, act­ing against the advice of his top mil­i­tary advis­ers, to dec­i­mate the cities of Hiroshi­ma and Nagasa­ki with atom­ic bombs.

Accord­ing to con­tem­po­ra­ne­ous reports, Tru­man was “jubi­lant” after destroy­ing Hiroshi­ma, boast­ing, “We have spent two bil­lion dol­lars on the great­est sci­en­tif­ic gam­ble in history—and won.”

“The Japan­ese began the war from the air at Pearl Har­bor,” said Tru­man. “They have been repaid many fold.” 

Dur­ing the 40-year Cold War with the Sovi­et Union that fol­lowed, U.S. pol­i­cy was gen­er­al­ly to steer clear of nuclear confrontations—and was it not uncom­mon for mem­bers of the Wash­ing­ton estab­lish­ment to pub­licly express their mis­giv­ings over U.S. nuclear pol­i­cy. 

Though large­ly for­got­ten today, as the U.S. entered the final decade of the first Cold War, McGe­orge Bundy, the for­mer nation­al secu­ri­ty advis­er to Pres­i­dents Kennedy and John­son, formed (per­haps as an act of penance) a “Gang of Four” with the for­mer Defense Sec­re­tary Robert McNa­ma­ra, the schol­ar-diplo­mat George F. Ken­nan, and the arms-con­trol nego­tia­tor Ger­ard C. Smith to push for a change in America’s nuclear pol­i­cy. 

In 1982, the Gang of Four pub­lished an arti­cle in the estab­lish­ment organ For­eign Affairs call­ing on the U.S. to scrap plans to deploy nuclear weapons in the event of a Sovi­et inva­sion of Europe.   

“It is time to rec­og­nize that no one has ever suc­ceed­ed in advanc­ing any per­sua­sive rea­son to believe that any use of nuclear weapons, even on the small­est scale, could reli­ably be expect­ed to remain lim­ite …