Gra­ham Plat­ner’s chances of drop­ping out sky­rock­et to 94% after par­ty revolt: Kalshi

Traders on pre­dic­tion mar­ket Kalshi are pil­ing into wagers that Maine Demo­c­ra­t­ic Sen­ate can­di­date Gra­ham Plat­ner will drop out of the race by next week.The con­tract on whether Plat­ner will drop out before July 14 soared to 94 cents Tues­day morn­ing from the pre­vi­ous sin­gle dig­its, imply­ing traders now assign a rough­ly 94% prob­a­bil­i­ty to his impend­ing exit. The trad­ing vol­ume, or the total dol­lar amount wagered on this mar­ket, sits just north of $4.4 mil­lion. While pre­dic­tion mar­kets don’t deter­mine polit­i­cal out­comes, the surge in bet­ting reflects a grow­ing belief among traders that Plat­ner’s cam­paign is in seri­ous jeop­ardy fol­low­ing the lat­est alle­ga­tions. Plat­ner is seek­ing to unseat five-term Repub­li­can Sen. Susan Collins, R‑Maine, in one of the nation’s most closel …