Trump’s small but endur­ing lead revives polling skep­ti­cism

Trump’s small but enduring lead revives polling skepticism

For­mer Pres­i­dent Don­ald Trump is still lead­ing in the polls, rais­ing fresh ques­tions about whether the prob­lem is with the polling or Pres­i­dent Joe Biden’s reelec­tion cam­paign.
Biden’s team ini­tial­ly sug­gest­ed that recent polling has been at odds with the elec­tion results, which often seen Democ­rats beat expec­ta­tions — and often Repub­li­cans. But their stepped up attacks on Trump and tar­get­ed cam­paign activ­i­ty indi­cate they do take the threat seri­ous­ly.
Polling skep­ti­cism, pop­u­lar­ly dubbed “crosstab trutherism,” nev­er­the­less per­sists in some cor­ners on the Left. Some of the core assump­tions being ques­tioned is whether Trump is real­ly gain­ing among minor­i­ty vot­ers and if Biden is as bad off with younger peo­ple as some sur­veys show.
The lat­est Wall Street Jour­nal swing state poll shows Trump beat­ing Biden in six of the key bat­tle­grounds and the two pres­i­dents tied in the sev­enth. Some of these leads are rel­a­tive­ly big. Trump is up by 6 points in North Car­oli­na, where he won by 1.3 in 2020, …